[Terrapreta] the most terrifying video...climate change

Sean K. Barry sean.barry at juno.com
Sat Dec 8 15:02:53 EST 2007


Acting on a belief is good if that is ones only option.  However, the 
outcome depends on chance. Get the Science right and then we can proceed 
with virtual certainty. Why isn't Big Science looking at ALL 
possibilities? By not looking at all possibilities in a rational manner, 
they are setting themselves up for potential disaster.

Best wishes,

Kevin

Hi Kevin,

Big Science has looked at the "solar activity and cosmic rays are causing global warming" possibility.  Its effect on GW is insignificant when compared to the effect on GW of recent (human generated) increases in GHG.

There is no complete truth or fact in science, nor anywhere else.  Science just has a way of logically connecting evidence so it compounds support for ideas, thus developing them into theories.  From theories, predictions are made.  When the predictions come to pass, then the theories are given even greater support.  The best scientific work has produced predictive theories meeting out valid predictions and application in the real world; Classical Physics, Special and General Relativity, Quantum Theory, Electrodynamics, etc.  Science generates high probabilities, at best.  

If we must continue to wait until you see an "absolute certainty", because you cannot accept high probability percentages in the high 90s, then we should all just continue on as is, until it all comes to pass and then we die.

Good luck with the "head in the sand" approach.

Regards,

SKB
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