[Terrapreta] Global Warming Is Not Settled Science

Sean K. Barry sean.barry at juno.com
Fri Nov 9 12:11:52 EST 2007


Hi Kevin,

You missed what they were doing in that http://www.surfacestations.org<http://www.surfacestations.org/> site, didn't you?  Its a good thing that global climatologist aren't just looking at temperature data coming from badly sited weather stations.  You don't seem to know this, but most all experimental data has measurement errors in it.  That is often why many different types of measurements are used when making predictions about natural phenomenon, like global climate change.;  things like ice core measurements dating back 100s of thousands of years, pictures before and now of disappearing glaciers that had been in place for thousands of years, pictures before and now of hundreds of square miles of ice shelf cracking off and floating away in 3 weeks instead of the expected 100 years, species extinction at an unprecedented rate due to changing climate conditions, and etc.

The IPCC has many different types of scientists and data.  They made their conclusions by looking at the BIG PICTURE.  When it comes to pissing contests over the value of data with errors in it, most "real" scientists have already learned how to deal with that kind of an issue.  You are right, no one makes conclusions on that kind of data alone.  But, then again, most "real" scientists don't dismiss conclusions because there is some data presented with errors in it to support that conclusion.

This is like your "unanimity" vs "consensus" question the other day.  No, unanimity, nor data without error (perfect data) is required for science to make valid predictions or come to consensus agreement about natural phenomenon.  The ability for science to deal with imperfect data and dissension is paramount to its successes.  These has never been the cause for failure. 

I don't think this will sink in with you ...

Regards,

SKB

I hate typos!
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